Will Poland reinstate visa-free travel for Kaliningrad before 2018?
Started
Dec 20, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Ahead of the 2016 Warsaw Summit, Poland suspended the small-border-traffic law which allowed visa-free travel into Poland from Ukraine and the Russian city of Kaliningrad (Polskie Radio S.A). Poland has since reintroduced the visa-free zone with Ukraine, but not yet with Kaliningrad, stating security concerns as reason for the sustained suspension (Bloomberg). For more information on the small-border-traffic law see: The Economist.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on Russia's participation in the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty or on Russia's participation in the New START treaty.
Poland did not reinstate visa-free travel for Kaliningrad. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on Russia's participation in the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty or on Russia's participation in the New START treaty.
Poland did not reinstate visa-free travel for Kaliningrad. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 299 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1250 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |