Will Poland reinstate visa-free travel for Kaliningrad before 2018?

Started Dec 20, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Ahead of the 2016 Warsaw Summit, Poland suspended the small-border-traffic law which allowed visa-free travel into Poland from Ukraine and the Russian city of Kaliningrad (Polskie Radio S.A). Poland has since reintroduced the visa-free zone with Ukraine, but not yet with Kaliningrad, stating security concerns as reason for the sustained suspension (Bloomberg). For more information on the small-border-traffic law see: The Economist. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
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Poland did not reinstate visa-free travel for Kaliningrad. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 299
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 1250
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.003408
2.
-0.003381
3.
-0.003347
4.
-0.003
5.
-0.002844

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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