In the News 2025

Question

Captbullett asks:

What will be the effective US tariff rate for Vietnamese imports for consumption in the fourth quarter of 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC · 14 · 28

The Economist asks:

What will be the effective US tariff rate for Chinese imports for consumption in July 2025?

Closing Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 177 · 265

The Economist asks:

How many NATO member states will spend 2.0% or more of their GDP on defense in 2025?

Closing Aug 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 187 · 264

The Economist asks:

In the current conflict in Ukraine, when will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended indefinite duration or an intended duration of at least 28 days?

Closing Sep 29, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 261 · 395

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 June 2025, will a NATO member invoke either Article 4 or Article 5 in response to a putative act or acts of sabotage?

Closing Jun 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 50 · 95

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2025, will Russia detonate a nuclear device inside of Russian territory or airspace?

Closing Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 66 · 109

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?

Closing Jul 20, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 66 · 172

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will South Korea publicly announce that it has or will provide lethal weapons and/or ammunition to Ukraine before 1 April 2025?

Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 50 · 124

What will be the unofficial US dollar to Iran rial exchange rate on 2 May 2025, according to Bonbast?

Closing May 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 17 · 46

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 December 2025?

Closing Dec 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 57 · 107

In the News 2025

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What will be the effective US tariff rate for Vietnamese imports for consumption in the fourth quarter of 2025?

What will be the effective US tariff rate for Chinese imports for consumption in July 2025?

How many NATO member states will spend 2.0% or more of their GDP on defense in 2025?

In the current conflict in Ukraine, when will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended indefinite duration or an intended duration of at least 28 days?

Before 1 June 2025, will a NATO member invoke either Article 4 or Article 5 in response to a putative act or acts of sabotage?

Before 1 July 2025, will Russia detonate a nuclear device inside of Russian territory or airspace?

When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?

Will South Korea publicly announce that it has or will provide lethal weapons and/or ammunition to Ukraine before 1 April 2025?

What will be the unofficial US dollar to Iran rial exchange rate on 2 May 2025, according to Bonbast?

Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 December 2025?

In the News 2025

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