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In the News 2025
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
(1 year)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2025, will Russia detonate a nuclear device inside of Russian territory or airspace?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
66
·
109
Among the best (highest ranked) large language model (LLM) of each organization in the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard, what will be the rank of Elon Musk’s xAI as of 11 April 2025?
Closing
May 16, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
35
·
77
Will Iran detonate a nuclear device before 1 January 2026?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
124
·
283
In Free Speech Coalition v. Paxton, will the Supreme Court rule that Texas House Bill 1181 regarding age verification for websites showing sexual content should be reviewed using strict scrutiny under the First Amendment?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
16
·
32
In San Francisco v. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), will the Supreme Court rule that the EPA cannot impose the generic prohibitions in San Francisco's discharge permit under the Clean Water Act without identifying specific limits to which their discharges must conform?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
22
·
71
What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 16 August 2025, according to CoinMarketCap?
Closing
Aug 16, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
26
·
126
What will happen next with regard to the price of bitcoin?
Closing
Aug 08, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
40
·
318
When will North Korea next detonate a nuclear device?
Closing
Aug 09, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
61
·
245
Vasu-Tripathi
asks:
What will the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) propose as the renewable volume obligation (RVO) for biomass-based diesel fuel in 2026?
Closing
Apr 05, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
16
·
51
In NY Times v. Microsoft/OpenAI, will a federal court issue any injunctive relief for the NY Times against any named defendant related to the use of its copyrighted materials to train large language models (LLMs) before 1 March 2025?
Closing
Mar 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
22
·
59
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