Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Will any territory in Crimea that was Russian-controlled before 24 February 2022 cease to be under "Assessed Russian Control" before 1 August 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)?
username-deleted 111595
made their 1st forecast (
view all
):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
90%
Yes
Why do you think you're right? (optional)
Comment deleted on Aug 15, 2024 09:55PM UTC
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Comment deleted on Aug 20, 2024 04:06PM UTC
Files
dowser
made a comment:
Perhaps the wrong question? ;-)
Active users have different styles. Many have no rationales. I have short ones (consistent with my limited "wisdom.") I suspect something shorter would be read and thought about by more participants.
Files
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel
Why do you think you're right? (optional)
Comment deleted on Aug 15, 2024 09:55PM UTC
Why might you be wrong?
Comment deleted on Aug 20, 2024 04:06PM UTC
Active users have different styles. Many have no rationales. I have short ones (consistent with my limited "wisdom.") I suspect something shorter would be read and thought about by more participants.