The question is stated as delivery of a "S-300 or S-400 missile system." A "system" requires all the major operational components to be delivered (search radar, targeting radar, missile launcher, command post, etc.). Regarding hiding the system, while I agree that generally you don't want to give away the exact location of your military assets, it is important to credibly signal your enemies if you expect to deter them. Most of the Iranian comments to this point are probably inward directed, to create a sense of strength in the aftermath of the nuclear deal with the West. Outward directed statements (to Israel) will come when the system is actually functioning.
Happy New Year! Ontology break or not, this is just too fascinating to stop now.
@000, @Heffalump, I was in small (10 and 13 member) teams and didn't know what was happening outside them. At most I interacted with 20 team-mates in two years. By comparison, the comment stream here is like trying to drink from a fire-hose. There are about a dozen users - you know who you are - who make compulsive reading, so much so that actual forecasting is just a secondary activity these days.
Last year my team was in an experimental group that didn't receive feedback on Brier Scores till the season was over, which was somewhat demotivating, though that was offset by being part of a very engaged team, with 7 out of 10 regularly contributing thoughtful rationales. This year is way more interesting, though it's about time we moved on from the beta phase.
@Ravel, nice music!
Welcome, 2016!
We're just 31 min into it, here in the ADT zone.
@Khalid: we must have been in the same experimental condition both years (on different teams). Interaction? Almost non-existent.
I agree that forecasters' comments this year are incredibly engaging.
@Khalid I've been gathering and analyzing data from GJP season 4, as nothing yet has been published about it and I want to understand this research better. Furthermore, even if I were to be patient and wait, what has been published about the first three seasons has been, let us say, sparse. So I don't expect much more in the future. Did you perchance save a copy of your Participant Feedback Report? I'll gladly trade my results for yours. Same deal for anyone else reading this. carolyn.meinel@cmeinel.com
To put a little faith in GJI back in you, guys, the good news is that the S-300 question will be voided. This is an interesting thread but no need to bitch about the bad resolution anymore :-)
@Dima-K: I wonder... are you getting some info before there's an announcement on this site because that's GJ is announcing things on the *other* platform?
Clearly yes @Dima-K is on the A team because he originated the matter of the "other platform" by mentioning that "this one day, in Band Camp, I heard some other kids talking about the Other Platform, and...."
Barring that, Occam's Razor would suggest that he has been pinged by our Director of Government Relations.
Reaffirming my forecast.
The question is stated as delivery of a "S-300 or S-400 missile system." A "system" requires all the major operational components to be delivered (search radar, targeting radar, missile launcher, command post, etc.). Regarding hiding the system, while I agree that generally you don't want to give away the exact location of your military assets, it is important to credibly signal your enemies if you expect to deter them. Most of the Iranian comments to this point are probably inward directed, to create a sense of strength in the aftermath of the nuclear deal with the West. Outward directed statements (to Israel) will come when the system is actually functioning.
I don't drink because I'm Amish.
Your glass is amiss?
Happy New Year! Ontology break or not, this is just too fascinating to stop now.
@000, @Heffalump, I was in small (10 and 13 member) teams and didn't know what was happening outside them. At most I interacted with 20 team-mates in two years. By comparison, the comment stream here is like trying to drink from a fire-hose. There are about a dozen users - you know who you are - who make compulsive reading, so much so that actual forecasting is just a secondary activity these days.
Last year my team was in an experimental group that didn't receive feedback on Brier Scores till the season was over, which was somewhat demotivating, though that was offset by being part of a very engaged team, with 7 out of 10 regularly contributing thoughtful rationales. This year is way more interesting, though it's about time we moved on from the beta phase.
@Ravel, nice music!
Welcome, 2016!
We're just 31 min into it, here in the ADT zone.
@Khalid: we must have been in the same experimental condition both years (on different teams). Interaction? Almost non-existent.
I agree that forecasters' comments this year are incredibly engaging.
@Khalid I've been gathering and analyzing data from GJP season 4, as nothing yet has been published about it and I want to understand this research better. Furthermore, even if I were to be patient and wait, what has been published about the first three seasons has been, let us say, sparse. So I don't expect much more in the future. Did you perchance save a copy of your Participant Feedback Report? I'll gladly trade my results for yours. Same deal for anyone else reading this. carolyn.meinel@cmeinel.com
@cmeinel, here you go: https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/01/01/peer-into-my-soul/
To put a little faith in GJI back in you, guys, the good news is that the S-300 question will be voided. This is an interesting thread but no need to bitch about the bad resolution anymore :-)
Should we put our faith in GJI or this guy: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/84/Zeus_Yahweh.jpg
If we couldn't bitch about bad resolutions there would be almost nothing to talk about. I say bring on more random Mission Accomplished resolutions.
http://cbsnews1.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/r/2008/05/01/d851091e-a642-11e2-a3f0-029118418759/thumbnail/620x350/370556ab70e834bc511b29e6dff5e71c/image4061139x.jpg
@Dima-K: I wonder... are you getting some info before there's an announcement on this site because that's GJ is announcing things on the *other* platform?
Clearly yes @Dima-K is on the A team because he originated the matter of the "other platform" by mentioning that "this one day, in Band Camp, I heard some other kids talking about the Other Platform, and...."
Barring that, Occam's Razor would suggest that he has been pinged by our Director of Government Relations.
PS And no, this isn't the right clip: https://youtu.be/MH619vxtNdo
@GL2814, you're missing this whole thread, where are you?