The Mack Institute and 
The Economist ask
What will be Uber's end-of-day market capitalization on the day of its initial public offering?
Started
Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 10, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 10, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
While Uber's potential IPO might be one of the largest ever, the company's present and future performance are sources of uncertainty for investors, market watchers and other interested observers (Fortune, Financial Times, Bloomberg).Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day Market Capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg.
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Uber closed with a market capitalization of $69.711B, closing with "Between $40 billion and $70 billion, inclusive" on 10 May 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $40 billion | 0% | |
| Between $40 billion and $70 billion, inclusive | 8% | |
| More than $70 billion but less than $100 billion | 77% | |
| Between $100 billion and $130 billion, inclusive | 15% | |
| More than $130 billion | 0% | |
| Uber will not have an IPO before 1 October 2019 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 529 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1198 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
