The Mack Institute asks
Before 1 January 2020, will General Motors launch a ride-hailing service open to the public in the U.S. which uses autonomous vehicles?
Started
Dec 14, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
General Motors and its subsidiary Cruise Automation have announced intentions to launch a ride-hailing service somewhere in the U.S. in 2019 (GM Authority). GM plans to use a version of the Chevy Bolt built without a steering wheel for the service (Detroit News, Driven, IEEE Spectrum). However, technical and regulatory hurdles remain (Reuters, San Francisco Chronicle). A service which requires rider prescreening or registration before use will count. A service that operates along a fixed route will not count.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question clarification
Issued on 01/22/19 04:50pm
We received a clarification request for this question, specifically, "Would the driver registration process for Waymo’s current ride-hailing service (Waymo) count as 'driver prescreening,' and would Waymo’s service count as 'open to the public?'" The answer to both questions is yes, a driver registration process like Waymo’s current ride-hailing service (Waymo) would count as both "driver prescreening" and "open to the public."
We received a clarification request for this question, specifically, "Would the driver registration process for Waymo’s current ride-hailing service (Waymo) count as 'driver prescreening,' and would Waymo’s service count as 'open to the public?'" The answer to both questions is yes, a driver registration process like Waymo’s current ride-hailing service (Waymo) would count as both "driver prescreening" and "open to the public."
Issued on 03/15/19 07:00pm
We have received an inquiry as to what kinds of subsidiaries and joint ventures would count for this question. Only GM and any organizations in which GM owns at least a 50% stake will count for the resolution of this question.
We have received an inquiry as to what kinds of subsidiaries and joint ventures would count for this question. Only GM and any organizations in which GM owns at least a 50% stake will count for the resolution of this question.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, using only vehicles with steering wheels | 0% | |
Yes, using only vehicles without steering wheels | 0% | |
Yes, using at least some vehicles without steering wheels | 0% | |
No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 289 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
Number of Forecasts | 553 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |