Will Congress pass a resolution disapproving the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action?
Started
Sep 1, 2015 06:28PM
Closed Sep 18, 2015 04:05AM (9 years ago)
Closed Sep 18, 2015 04:05AM (9 years ago)
Challenges
In accordance with the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, President Obama submitted the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPoA) to Congress on 19 July 2015. Congress has sixty days to review the legislation and vote to approve or disapprove the agreement, but the President retains the right to veto (carnegieendowment.org/2015/08/06/what-would-happen-if-u.s.-congress-killed-iran-deal/ieeg; www.economist.com/news/united-states/21660543-barack-obama-braced-stormy-month-ahead-crucial-vote-congress-politics ).
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| No | 91% | |
| Yes, but the resolution will be vetoed by the President and the veto will stand | 4% | |
| Yes, and the resolution will become law | 5% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 148 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 301 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 529 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Sep 1, 2015 2:29PM PDT (16 days before close, question was 0% complete)