Will Russia conduct a naval exercise in the Western Hemisphere with a Central or South American country before 1 July 2016?
Started
Jan 12, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2016 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2016 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
This question resolved on 30 June 2016: Russia continues to plan for expanded influence in the Western Hemisphere, and to project naval power more broadly, but has not conducted any exercises during this timeframe (Center for Security Policy, The Diplomat)
Table top exercises, war games, and simulations would not suffice to resolve the question. Russia conducted military exercises with Venezuela in 2008 and again in 2015 (teleSUR, NY Times). Recently, the Russian government has indicated that it might conduct joint military exercises with forces from Cuba and/or Nicaragua (Newsweek, Southern Pulse).
For the purposes of this question, Central America includes Mexico and the Caribbean.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 560 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1368 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |