The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will the registration deadline for Germany's ownership tax exemption for fully-electric vehicles be extended beyond 2020?

Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Currently, fully-electric vehicles registered in Germany between 18 May 2011 and 31 December 2020 are exempt from federal motor vehicle ownership tax (German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy, German Central Customs Authority [in German], Evannex). While Germany had targeted getting one million EVs on the road by 2020, it recently announced a new target date of 2022 (Reuters, The European Automobile Manufacturers' Association).


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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 80.00%
No 20.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 159
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189
Number of Forecasts 364
Average for questions older than 6 months: 546
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.578362
2.
-1.360012
4.
-1.317253
5.
-1.293805

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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