Nesta asks
Between 22 February and 31 December 2019, how many CRISPR gene-edited babies will be born?
Started
Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Tags
The gene-editing of human embryos is a controversial topic (BBC, The Guardian). In November 2018, Chinese professor He Jiankui announced that genetically modified twins had been born in China (NPR, NY Times). There are reports that his work resulted in another pregnancy that was ongoing as of late January (BBC).
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The question closed "1" with a closing date of 1 January 2020 (Xinhua [in Chinese], Nature).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | |
| 1 | 3% | |
| More than 1 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1557 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1973 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
