Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed in 2016?

Started Jan 19, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC

This question was closed a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
RCEP is a regional trade agreement between Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) members and their free trade agreement partners (RCEP Fact Sheet). The completion of the Trans-Pacific Partnership increased pressure to finalize the deal but no agreement was reached in 2015 (CNBC, The Star-Malaysia, Xinhua). Resolution requires that the negotiators reach an agreement. Ratification by the parties to the agreement is not required. Recommended Questions Will negotiations on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) be completed before 1 January 2017? How many countries will Russia remove from its food embargo list before 6 August 2016? Will China conduct naval exercises with any ASEAN member before 1 June 2016?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 211
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189
Number of Forecasts 1364
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.57765
2.
-0.576957
3.
-0.574557
4.
-0.563289
5.
-0.551454

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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