Who will win the Democratic Party nomination for the US presidential election?
Started
Jan 21, 2016 03:46PM UTC
Closed Jul 25, 2016 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 25, 2016 06:59AM UTC
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This question was closed with the answer "Hillary Clinton" on 27 July 2016 with an end date of 26 July 2016. On 26 July 2016, Hillary Clinton become the official nominee of the Democratic party (Washington Post, NY Times)
For more information on the candidates, the primary process, and the primary schedule see: Candidates, How the Presidential Primary Works, Schedule.
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Who will win the Republican Party nomination for the US presidential election?
Will the Republican candidate for president win the party's nomination on the first ballot at the party's convention in July?
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Hillary Clinton | 99% | |
Martin O’Malley | 0% | |
Bernie Sanders | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 1819 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 4176 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |