The Mack Institute asks

What will be the price of regular gasoline in the U.S. per gallon on 30 December 2019?

Started Apr 26, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Gas prices are seen as a driver for the adoption of electric vehicles (Auto Finance News). Outcome will be determined by the U.S. Regular Gasoline price reported by the Energy Information Administration.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 30 December 2019.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.400 0%
Between $2.400 and $2.650, inclusive 99%
More than $2.650 but less than $2.900 1%
Between $2.900 and $3.150, inclusive 0%
More than $3.150 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 157
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189
Number of Forecasts 592
Average for questions older than 6 months: 546
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.315256
3.
-0.291211
4.
-0.288361
5.
-0.281753

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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