The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?

Started Apr 26, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The legal implications surrounding self-driving vehicles are of special interest to many stakeholders of the auto industry (Reuters, NY Times, The Atlantic, CNN, Popular Science). The charges for a firm or backup driver are not required to be related to the same accident for resolving this question.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.  

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, a firm 0%
Yes, a paid backup driver 0%
Yes, both 0%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 220
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189
Number of Forecasts 444
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.072824
2.
-0.072824
3.
-0.072824
4.
-0.069151
5.
-0.069151

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username