Nesta asks

What will be the closing value for the pound against the euro on 1 November 2019?

Started Jun 07, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The Brexit process introduces uncertainty for the pound (BBC, Reuters). Outcome will be determined by the closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "More than €1.10 but less than €1.20" with a closing date of 1 November 2019.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Below 1.00 7%
Between 1.00 and 1.10, inclusive 50%
More than 1.10 but less than 1.20 43%
Between 1.20 and 1.30, inclusive 0%
More than 1.30 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 778
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189
Number of Forecasts 1185
Average for questions older than 6 months: 546
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.254583
2.
-0.253444
3.
-0.2498
4.
-0.247734
5.
-0.247734

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username