Started
Jan 21, 2016 03:51PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
This question was closed on with the correct answer "A Republican" with an end date of 8 November. The Republican candidate Donald Trump won the presidential election on November 8.
For more information on the candidates, please see Candidates.
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(Conditional) If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination, which party will win the U.S. presidential election?
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
A Democrat | 76% | |
A Republican | 24% | |
Other | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 4493 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
Number of Forecasts | 10433 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |