Which movie will win the Oscar for Best Picture?

Started Jan 26, 2016 06:05PM UTC
Closed Feb 28, 2016 07:59AM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Big Short 12%
Bridge of Spies 0%
Brooklyn 0%
The Martian 0%
Mad Max: Fury Road 0%
Room 0%
The Revenant 69%
Spotlight 19%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 491
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 937
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.085355
2.
-0.893242
3.
-0.882279
4.
-0.878188
5.
-0.865658

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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