Will the government of Colombia and the FARC sign a final peace agreement before 1 May 2016?
Started
Feb 02, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 30, 2016 09:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 30, 2016 09:00PM UTC
Challenges
In late September 2015, the Colombian government and FARC publicly pledged to conclude a peace deal within six months (The Economist, BBC).
Recommended Question
Will the government of Venezuela or Petroleos de Venezuela S. A. (PDVSA) default on their foreign-currency debt before 1 March 2016?
Will Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff resign or be impeached before 1 April 2016?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 543 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1582 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
