When will Donald Trump cease to be president of the United States?

Started Sep 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 20, 2021 08:01AM UTC

The next inauguration for president of the United States is scheduled for 20 January 2021 (National Archives).

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The question closed "On Inauguration Day 2021" with a closing date of 20 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before Inauguration Day 2021 0%
On Inauguration Day 2021 100%
After Inauguration Day 2021 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 2195
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 6725
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.449168
2.
-0.448594
3.
-0.448594
4.
-0.447779
5.
-0.447779

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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