Sign up and enter your own forecast, to compete in The Economist's Challenge! Closing the border would also suffice to resolve the question. Austria announced a cap on asylum seekers in January (Financial Times) and though Germany has taken steps to reduce the influx of refugees (Guardian), there is growing pressure on German Chancellor Angela Merkel to go further and close her country's borders or otherwise cap the number of refugees her country will accept (The World in 2016, Newsweek, Reuters, Financial Times, Telegraph). This question will be scored using the ordered categorial scoring rule. For more information, see the FAQ. Recommended Questions How many Eritrean citizens will apply for asylum in Europe for the first time in the first quarter of 2016?