Nesta asks
Will a political party gain an overall majority of seats in the House of Commons at the next UK General Election?
Started
Oct 30, 2019 04:30PM UTC
Closed Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The next UK General Election is planned for 12 December 2019 (BBC, BBC, BBC, Financial Times).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help..
The question closed "Yes, the Conservative Party" with a closing date of 12 December 2019.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, the Conservative Party | 68% | |
| Yes, the Labour Party | 0% | |
| Yes, a political party not listed above | 0% | |
| No political party will gain an overall majority | 32% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 362 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 791 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
