Will Bahrain, Qatar, or the UAE return an ambassador to Iran before 18 October 2016?
Started
Feb 09, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 17, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 17, 2016 05:00PM UTC
This question was closed on option C) 'No' on 17 October, 2016. No sources have reported the return of any of the three relevant ambassadors (from Bahrain, the UAE, and Qatar) to Iran.
In January, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, Djibouti, Sudan, and Kuwait recalled their ambassadors to Iran or otherwise broke diplomatic relations after Iranian protesters attacked the Saudi embassy in Tehran (The National, Reuters, Al Jazeera). If the events occur simultaneously, the question will be scored on option A. 18 October 2016 is the one year anniversary of "Adoption Day" for the nuclear deal.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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No | 100% | |
Yes, after Saudi Arabia announces that its ambassador will return to Tehran | 0% | |
Yes, before Saudi Arabia announces that its ambassador will return to Tehran | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 368 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1309 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |