After the Super Tuesday primaries, which Democratic candidate will have won the most pledged delegates?

Started Feb 11, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2016 07:59AM UTC

Note: this is a probability question, asking for the top finisher, not a delegate share question! Pledged delegates are those delegates whose votes are determined by the outcome of the primaries (Bustle). More than 10 states will hold Democratic primaries or caucuses on Super Tuesday, 1 March 2016 (HowStuffWorks, NBC News). Recommended Questions After the Super Tuesday primaries, which Republican candidate will have won the most pledged delegates? Who will win the Democratic Party nomination for the US presidential election?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Hillary Clinton 57%
Bernie Sanders 43%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1750
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 2273
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.116242
2.
-0.116242
3.
-0.116242
4.
-0.116242
5.
-0.116242

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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