After the Super Tuesday primaries, which Republican candidate will have won the most pledged delegates?
Started
Feb 11, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2016 07:59AM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2016 07:59AM UTC
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Note: this is a probability question, asking for the top finisher, not a delegate share question!
Pledged delegates are those delegates whose votes are determined by the outcome of the primaries (Bustle). More than 10 states will hold Republican primaries or caucuses on Super Tuesday, 1 March 2016 (HowStuffWorks, NBC News).
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Who will win the Republican Party nomination for the US presidential election?
After the Super Tuesday primaries, which Democratic candidate will have won the most pledged delegates?
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Jeb Bush | 0% | |
Ben Carson | 0% | |
Ted Cruz | 23% | |
Jim Gilmore | 0% | |
John Kasich | 0% | |
Marco Rubio | 20% | |
Donald Trump | 57% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 1827 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2683 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |