Fareed Zakaria GPS and
The Economist ask:
Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 June 2020?
Started
Dec 13, 2019 06:00PM
Closed Jun 1, 2020 06:59AM (5 years ago)
Closed Jun 1, 2020 06:59AM (5 years ago)
Nicolas Maduro remains in power despite increasing international pressure and domestic instability (Economist, Americas Quarterly, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 June 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 1318 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 180 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2105 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 526 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Dec 13, 2019 10:00AM PST (170 days before close, question was 0% complete)