Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021?
Started
Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM
Closed Jan 1, 2021 08:01AM (4 years ago)
Closed Jan 1, 2021 08:01AM (4 years ago)
Challenges
Prime Minister Netanyahu faces an array of challenges, including criminal corruption charges and the third Knesset election within a year scheduled for 2 March 2020 (Times of Israel, Sydney Morning Herald).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1545 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 180 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2901 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 527 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Mar 27, 2020 9:24AM PDT (280 days before close, question was 20% complete)