When will British Airways resume commercial flights to mainland China?
Started
Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
On 10 February 2020, British Airways announced that it had canceled all flights to Beijing and Shanghai until 31 March 2020, which it later extended until 17 April 2020 (Reuters, British Airways). Flights to Hong Kong or Macau would not count. For the purposes of this question, resumption of commercial flights will have occurred once a British Airways commercial flight is en route to mainland China.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Not before 1 July 2020" with a closing date of 1 July 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question clarification
Issued on 05/26/20 08:18pm
For the purposes of this question, "commercial flights" are flights with ticketed passengers. Cargo only flights would not count.
For the purposes of this question, "commercial flights" are flights with ticketed passengers. Cargo only flights would not count.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 May 2020 | 0% | |
| Between 1 May 2020 and 31 May 2020 | 0% | |
| Between 1 June 2020 and 30 June 2020 | 0% | |
| Not before 1 July 2020 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 650 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1584 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
