The Mack Institute asks
Before 1 January 2021, will Tesla release an Autopilot feature designed to navigate traffic lights?
Started
Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 24, 2020 09:59PM UTC
Closed Apr 24, 2020 09:59PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Tesla CEO Elon Musk has expressed interest in adding a feature to navigate city streets, including traffic lights (The Driven, Endgadget, EV Bite).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Before 1 July 2020" with a closing date of 24 April 2020 (Electrek).
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 July 2020 | 0% | |
| Between 1 July and 30 September 2020 | 2% | |
| Between 1 October and 31 December 2020 | 8% | |
| Not before 1 January 2021 | 90% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 106 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 187 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
