&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Which party will control the US Senate after the November 2016 election?

Started Mar 11, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 07:59AM UTC

This question was closed on 14 November with the correct answer 'Republicans' and an end date of 8 November. The Republicans maintained their majority in the Senate. Thirty-four seats are up for election this year (Wall Street Journal, Washington Post 1, Washington Post 2).
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Democrats 64%
Republicans 36%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 844
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 2531
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.627168
2.
-0.625102
3.
-0.623198
4.
-0.620963
5.
-0.618239

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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