How many total cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will The COVID Tracking Project report as of Sunday 26 April 2020?
Started
Apr 20, 2020 02:00PM
Closed Apr 26, 2020 06:59AM (5 years ago)
Closed Apr 26, 2020 06:59AM (5 years ago)
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The question will be suspended on 25 April 2020. The outcome will be determined using data from The COVID Tracking Project for Sunday 26 April 2020 as of 4:00PM ET on Monday 27 April under "Positive" (COVID Tracking Project). The COVID Tracking Project reported 576,774 total cases through 13 April 2020.
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The question closed "Between 950,000 and 1,000,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 26 April 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 850,000 | 0% | |
Between 850,000 and 900,000, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 900,000 but less than 950,000 | 6% | |
Between 950,000 and 1,000,000, inclusive | 94% | |
More than 1,000,000 but less than 1,050,000 | 0% | |
Between 1,050,000 and 1,100,000, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 1,100,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 171 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 182 | |
Number of Forecasts | 473 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 532 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Apr 25, 2020 6:33AM PDT (0 days before close, question was 100% complete)