Which presidential candidate will win Ohio?
Started
May 29, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Challenges
The 2020 race for the White House will be decided in battleground states (Real Clear Politics, Electoral Vote Map). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the state.
Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
The Democratic Party candidate | 45% | |
The Republican Party candidate | 55% | |
Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 326 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 185 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1109 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 537 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |