The Dubai Future Experts Candidates asks:
Before 1 January 2021, will the Barakah nuclear power plant begin to supply electricity to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) power grid?
Started
Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM
Closed Jan 1, 2021 08:01AM (4 years ago)
Closed Jan 1, 2021 08:01AM (4 years ago)
Challenges
In an attempt to diversify its energy supply, the UAE has been constructing a nuclear power plant in cooperation with the Korea Electric Power Corp. (Bloomberg, World Nuclear Association). The first of four reactors has an operating license and is undergoing testing (Power Engineering, ME Construction News). Testing alone would not count.
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NOTE 28 September 2020: For the purposes of this question, power ascension testing is considered testing and will not close the question.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 88 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 179 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 350 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 523 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Dec 2, 2020 12:53PM PST (30 days before close, question was 84% complete)