Between 7 July 2020 and the end of the season, how many NBA players residing at the Walt Disney World complex will test positive for COVID-19, according to the NBA?
Started
Jul 3, 2020 05:00PM
Closed Oct 12, 2020 12:00AM (5 years ago)
Closed Oct 12, 2020 12:00AM (5 years ago)
Challenges
Several National Basketball Association (NBA) players have tested positive for COVID-19 just as the league is looking to restart the 2019-20 season at the Walt Disney World complex (Wall Street Journal, Slam Online, Wall Street Journal). For purposes of this question, a test indicating a past infection will not count for resolution (CDC).
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The question closed "Between 1 and 7" with a closing date of 11 October 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | |
| Between 1 and 7 | 100% | |
| Between 8 and 14 | 0% | |
| Between 15 and 21 | 0% | |
| 22 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 153 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 179 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 622 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 523 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Aug 9, 2020 5:08PM PDT (63 days before close, question was 37% complete)