Will the European Union suspend any of Poland's membership rights in 2016?

Started Apr 05, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC

This question was closed a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Poland's constitutional crisis has spurred the European Commission to undertake a formal review that could lead to a suspension of some of Poland's EU membership rights, including voting rights (The Guardian, Washington Post). For more information on the dispute over Poland's Constitutional Tribunal see Reuters, Associated Press, Wall Street Journal. For more information on the European Union's process for sanctioning states that have failed to uphold EU values see EUR-Lex. Recommended Questions Before 1 January 2017, will it be officially announced that Greece is leaving the eurozone? Will a majority of voters in Britain's upcoming referendum elect to remain in the European Union?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 515
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 1512
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000156
2.
-0.000156
3.
-0.000156
4.
-0.000156
5.
-0.000156

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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