&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Will Senator Ron Johnson (R-WI) be re-elected this November?

Started Apr 15, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC

This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Senator Ron Johnson (R - WI) won his bid for reelection against Russ Feingold on November 8. (NY Times) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Senator Ron Johnson is facing former Senator Russ Feingold in the 2016 elections (CNN, Washington Post). Recommended Questions Will Senator Rob Portman (R-OH) be re-elected this November? Which party will control the US House of Representatives after the November 2016 election? Which party will control the US Senate after the November 2016 election?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 14.00%
No 86.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 323
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 1158
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.511085
2.
-1.491085
3.
-1.455206
4.
-1.431342
5.
-1.386085

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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