&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Will Senator Rob Portman (R-OH) be re-elected this November?

Started Apr 15, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC

This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Senator Rob Portman (R - OH) won his bid for reelection on November 8 against Democratic challenger Ted Strickland. (NY Times) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Senator Rob Portman is facing former Governor Ted Strickland in the 2016 elections (Cleveland.com, Washington Post). Recommended Questions Will Senator Ron Johnson (R-WI) be re-elected this November? Which party will control the US House of Representatives after the November 2016 election? Which party will control the US Senate after the November 2016 election?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 98.00%
No 2.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 321
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 1171
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.40976
2.
-0.40976
3.
-0.407528
4.
-0.400726
5.
-0.362887

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username