Before 18 October 2016, will the US announce that it is opening a consulate or embassy in Iran?

Started Apr 19, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 17, 2016 05:00PM UTC

This question was closed on option B) 'No' on 17 October. As of this date, the US has not announced plans to open a consulate or an embassy in Iran. The US has not had formal diplomatic offices in Iran since 1980, when diplomatic relations were severed after the hostage crisis (State Department). Recommended Questions Will Iran's President Hassan Rouhani meet Saudi Arabia's King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud before 1 September 2016? Will the United States remove Iran from the list of countries identified as state sponsors of terrorism before 18 October 2016?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 358
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191
Number of Forecasts 1111
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.00109
2.
-0.00109
3.
-0.00109
4.
-0.00109
5.
-0.00109

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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