The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and/or the EU's European Medicines Agency (EMA) approve a COVID-19 vaccine from Chinese companies Sinovac or Sinopharm before 1 September 2021?
Closed Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Sinovac and Sinopharm are among the many Chinese developers of COVID-19 vaccines (NY Times, Sinopharm, Sinovac, Guardian, BBC). For more details of the EMA’s vaccine approval process, please see: AP, EMA, EMA - Approvals. For more details regarding the FDA’s vaccine approval process, please see: FDA - Vaccine Development, FDA - Emergency Preparedness. Emergency use approvals would count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, only by the FDA | 0% | |
| Yes, only by the EMA | 0% | |
| Yes, by both the FDA and the EMA | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 279 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 823 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
