Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?
Started
Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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The outcome will be determined using deaths data as reported by WHO for the United States and for those countries that were EU member states as of 1 January 2021 (WHO, see 'Deaths - cumulative total', European Union). Data for 2021 will be evaluated at approximately 5:00PM ET on 3 January 2022 and inclusive of deaths before this question's launch.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 187 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 818 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
