Will Afghanistan's parliamentary elections be held as scheduled on 15 October 2016?
Started
May 03, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 16, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 16, 2016 05:00PM UTC
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This question was closed on option b ('No') on 16 October, 2016. The absence of reporting on the Lower House/Wolesi Jirga elections scheduled for 15 October after an Independent Election Commission press release foreboding a possible delay indicates that no elections were in fact held on 15 October.
Elections for Afghanistan's lower house of parliament have been scheduled for 15 October 2016 (The Diplomat, Afghanistan Analysts Network, NY Times).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 176 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 884 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |