Will Iran officially lift its ban on either Facebook or Twitter before 1 October 2016?

Started May 10, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM UTC

This question was closed on option B ('No') with a closing date of 9/30/2016. In the wake of protests over elections held in 2009, the government of Iran began blocking access to Facebook and Twitter. Some Iranian government officials use these social media channels, and many citizens access them illegally through virtual private networks and other means, but the official ban remains in place (The Telegraph, Al Jazeera America, International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran). Recommended Questions: Before 18 October 2016, will the US announce that it is opening a consulate or embassy in Iran? Will Bahrain, Qatar, or the UAE return an ambassador to Iran before 18 October 2016? Will Dilma Rousseff cease to be President of Brazil before 1 January 2017?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 329
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191
Number of Forecasts 787
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001197
2.
-0.001197
3.
-0.001197
4.
-0.001197
5.
-0.001197

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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