belikewater asks:
When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report 40 million or more confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India?
Started
May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
India has faced a monumental surge in COVID-19 cases and deaths since April 2021 (BBC, AP). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by WHO (WHO). Data will be accessed as necessary no later than 2 October 2021.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Not before 1 October 2021" with a closing date of 1 October 2021.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 July 2021 | 0% | |
Between 1 July 2021 and 31 July 2021 | 0% | |
Between 1 August 2021 and 31 August 2021 | 0% | |
Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021 | 0% | |
Not before 1 October 2021 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 121 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
Number of Forecasts | 692 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |