belikewater asks:
When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report 40 million or more confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India?
Started
May 7, 2021 05:00PM
Closed Oct 1, 2021 07:01AM (3 years ago)
Closed Oct 1, 2021 07:01AM (3 years ago)
Challenges
India has faced a monumental surge in COVID-19 cases and deaths since April 2021 (BBC, AP). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by WHO (WHO). Data will be accessed as necessary no later than 2 October 2021.
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The question closed "Not before 1 October 2021" with a closing date of 1 October 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 July 2021 | 0% | |
| Between 1 July 2021 and 31 July 2021 | 0% | |
| Between 1 August 2021 and 31 August 2021 | 0% | |
| Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021 | 0% | |
| Not before 1 October 2021 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 121 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 180 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 692 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 526 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jun 4, 2021 6:47PM PDT (119 days before close, question was 19% complete)