What will be the annual rate of headline inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?
Started
Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM
Closed Jul 1, 2022 07:01AM (3 years ago)
Closed Jul 1, 2022 07:01AM (3 years ago)
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The CPI is a measure of inflation calculated by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2022 and the outcome will be determined using the 12-month percentage change as first released by the BLS for "All items" in July 2022 (BLS). For May 2021, the rate was 5.0%.
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The question closed "5.0% or more" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 0.0% | 0% | |
| Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 2.0% but less than 3.0% | 0% | |
| Between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 4.0% but less than 5.0% | 0% | |
| 5.0% or more | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 936 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 180 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2239 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 526 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jan 19, 2022 6:26AM PST (163 days before close, question was 57% complete)