Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?

Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM
Closed Jul 1, 2022 07:01AM (3 years ago)

Whether the United States will impose sanctions against China for its actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic is a topic of growing debate (Yahoo, Axios, Bloomberg). For the purposes of this question, sanctions could be on an individual who is a citizen or national of the People's Republic of China or an entity organized under the laws of the People's Republic of China (e.g., CNN, Reuters, AP).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 229
Average for questions older than 6 months: 180
Number of Forecasts 525
Average for questions older than 6 months: 526
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000897
2.
-0.000897
4.
-0.000897
5.
-0.000883

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jun 24, 2021 2:00PM PDT (372 days before close, question was 0% complete)
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