Will Donald Trump pick one of the former candidates for the Republican nomination as his vice presidential running mate?

Started May 20, 2016 06:30PM UTC
Closed Jul 15, 2016 04:00PM UTC

This question was closed with the answer "No" on 19 July 2016 with an end date of 15 July 2016. Donald Trump announced that Mike Pence would be his vice presidential running mate on 15 July 2016 (CNN, Boston Globe, NY Times). Mike Pence was not a former presidential candidate.
A number of Trump's previous rivals have been mentioned as potential picks for his vice presidential running-mate (Washington Post, NBC News). A list of the past Republican presidential candidates can be found at the NYTimes. Recommended Questions: Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Which party will control the US Senate after the November 2016 election? Which party will control the US House of Representatives after the November 2016 election?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 361
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 986
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.019121
2.
-0.019121
3.
-0.019121
4.
-0.019121
5.
-0.018764

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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