What will happen to the European Union's sectoral sanctions against Russia, currently set to expire in July 2016?
Started
May 24, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2016 01:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2016 01:00PM UTC
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This question resolved on 1 July 2016: The sanctions have been extended for six months (European Council, Wall Street Journal, ABC News)
The sectoral sanctions are described under the heading "Economic Sanctions-Measures Targeting Exchanges with Russia in Specific Economic Sectors" in this EU document. They do not include the sanctions targeting individuals or the broad sanctions against Crimea. In the spring of 2015, the EU tied the lifting of these sanctions to the full implementation of the Minsk agreement between Russia and Ukraine, and in December 2015 EU leaders agreed to extend the sanctions until at least the end of July 2016 (Reuters).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
The sanctions will be extended | 95% | |
Some of the sanctions will be extended, but others will be relaxed or allowed to expire | 5% | |
The sanctions will expire | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 301 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 599 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |