Before 1 January 2022, will Kais Saied cease to be the president of Tunisia?
Started
Aug 13, 2021 05:00PM
Closed Jan 1, 2022 08:01AM (3 years ago)
Closed Jan 1, 2022 08:01AM (3 years ago)
Challenges
Tags
The future of Tunisia's democracy is uncertain after President Kais Saied invoked emergency powers, suspended parliament, and dismissed the prime minister (Reuters, Middle East Eye, Guardian, Al Jazeera).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 62 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 139 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 529 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Aug 13, 2021 10:27AM PDT (141 days before close, question was 0% complete)