What will be the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 20 October 2021?

Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Louisiana continues to struggle with COVID-19 in the wake of Hurricane Ida (USA Today). The outcome will be determined using data as published by the New York Times (NY Times). The 7-day average of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 1 September 2021 was 2,991. The data for the week ending 20 October 2021 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 26 October 2021.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Fewer than 1,500" with a closing date of 21 October 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 1,500 100%
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive 0%
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500 0%
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive 0%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500 0%
7,500 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 47
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 173
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.135032
2.
-0.117632
3.
-0.099889
4.
-0.093064
5.
-0.086434

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username