Which country will win the most gold medals in Brazil this summer?

Started May 31, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 21, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Tags
Sports  

This question was closed with the answer "USA" on 22 August 2016 with an end date of 21 August 2016. The United States have won the gold medal count with 46 gold medals. Great Britain, China, Russia, and Germany round out the top five with 27, 26, 19, and 17 gold medals respectively (2016 Olympic Medal Count). Scores are based on forecasts made through 11:59pm Pacific on 20 August 2016. The 2016 Olympic Games will be held in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, from 5 August until 21 August. The United States, China, Great Britain, and Russia were the top four nations in the gold medal count at the 2012 London games (BBC). In the event of a tie in the gold medal count, we will use the total number of medals to serve as a tiebreaker. Recommended Questions: Which team will win the 2015-2016 NBA Finals? Will Roger Goodell be commissioner of the NFL at the start of the 2016 regular season?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Great Britain 0%
China 0%
USA 100%
Another country 0%
Russia 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 628
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 1368
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.13277
2.
-0.130574
3.
-0.130574
4.
-0.130562
5.
-0.12936

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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